🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?

15
28
Total Forecasters69
Community Prediction30% (24.3% - 35%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 30%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
RyanBeck
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
Health & Pandemics
2024-2025 Leaderboard

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