Question

Five years after AGI, will there have been a World War III?

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Total Forecasters33

Community Prediction8%

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community: 8%

median 8.0%mean 10.2%

Authors:

will_aldred

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Five Years After AGI

Geopolitics

Artificial Intelligence

Five years after AGI, will an AI company be a military power?

10%

By five years after AGI, will an engineered pandemic have infected one billion people?

Will there be a "World War Three" before 2050?

30%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

will_aldred

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Five Years After AGI

Geopolitics

Artificial Intelligence

Five years after AGI, will an AI company be a military power?

10%

By five years after AGI, will an engineered pandemic have infected one billion people?

Will there be a "World War Three" before 2050?

30%

MetaculusM

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Five years after AGI, will there have been a World War III?

Make a Prediction

Five years after AGI, will an AI company be a military power?

By five years after AGI, will an engineered pandemic have infected one billion people?

Will there be a "World War Three" before 2050?

Comments

Five years after AGI, will an AI company be a military power?

By five years after AGI, will an engineered pandemic have infected one billion people?

Will there be a "World War Three" before 2050?

Five years after AGI, will an AI company be a military power?

By five years after AGI, will an engineered pandemic have infected one billion people?

Will there be a "World War Three" before 2050?

Five years after AGI, will an AI company be a military power?

By five years after AGI, will an engineered pandemic have infected one billion people?

Will there be a "World War Three" before 2050?