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What will the necessary computational power to replicate human mental capability turn out to be?
41
43 comments
43
1d
1w
2m
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Total Forecasters
122
Community Prediction
1.1e17
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Probability Density
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My Prediction
community
<1e12
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>1e26
...
...
...
...
...
7.3%
3.6e14
1.1e17
3.1e19
4.7%
Background Info
Authors:
Anthony
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
Natural Sciences
Neuroscience
Thermodynamics
Turing test
Philosophy
Information theory
Physics
FLOPS
Measurement
Landauer's principle
Psychology
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Authors:
Anthony
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
Natural Sciences
Neuroscience
Thermodynamics
Turing test
Philosophy
Information theory
Physics
FLOPS
Measurement
Landauer's principle
Psychology
Show more tags
Submit Tags Feedback
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