Question

Will the S&P 500 Index increase over the year 2025?

4 comments4

Total Forecasters47

Community Prediction66% (50.2% - 78%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 66%

Authors:

AxePledges

Opened:

Jul 30, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Economy & Business

2024-2025 Leaderboard

One of Wall Street's biggest bulls sees the S&P 500 soaring 16% early next year before a sharp sell-off in the 2nd half

Business Insider•Feb 16, 2025

These are the 4 biggest forces that will shape the stock market in 2025

Business Insider•Feb 16, 2025

Evercore ISI sees more S&P 500 gains next year on Trump and a bull case of 7,400

CNBC•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 Index on the following dates?

6.56k

Will Nvidia outperform the S&P 500 in 2025?

61%

Will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index be lower in November 2025 than it was in November 2024?

45%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

AxePledges

Opened:

Jul 30, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Economy & Business

2024-2025 Leaderboard

One of Wall Street's biggest bulls sees the S&P 500 soaring 16% early next year before a sharp sell-off in the 2nd half

Business Insider•Feb 16, 2025

These are the 4 biggest forces that will shape the stock market in 2025

Business Insider•Feb 16, 2025

Evercore ISI sees more S&P 500 gains next year on Trump and a bull case of 7,400

CNBC•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 Index on the following dates?

6.56k

Will Nvidia outperform the S&P 500 in 2025?

61%

Will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index be lower in November 2025 than it was in November 2024?

45%