Question
Will any two countries out of the US, UK, Germany, Canada, France, or Australia curtail diplomatic ties with Israel before 2025, citing Israel’s military actions in Gaza?
Total Forecasters48
Community Prediction0.1% (0.1% - 0.1%)
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Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict before January 1, 2030?
5%
Before January 1, 2026, will Israel formally lift its warnings against Palestinians returning to northern Gaza?
Will a ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon/Hezbollah be active on January 1, 2025?
90%
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict before January 1, 2030?
5%
Before January 1, 2026, will Israel formally lift its warnings against Palestinians returning to northern Gaza?
Will a ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon/Hezbollah be active on January 1, 2025?
90%