Question

What will be the total number of refugees from Sudan in neighboring countries by the end of December 2024?

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Total Forecasters5

Community Prediction2.96M (2.79M - 3.14M)

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lower 25%

median

upper 75%

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2.788M

2.956M

3.141M

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Authors:

MAD2

Opened:

Closed:

Scheduled resolution:

Sudan Community

Geopolitics

2024 Leaderboard

Famine Crisis Worsens Amid Sudan's Ongoing Conflict

•Dec 25, 2024

Hunger in the shadow of conflict: analyzing malnutrition and humanitarian challenges in Sudan

•Dec 25, 2024

Sudan Faces Worsening Famine Crisis Amid Civil War

•Dec 25, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the overall population in Sudan facing high acute food insecurity (IPC Phase 3 or above) decrease to under 20 million by February 2025?

37%

How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection in the following fiscal years?

What will be the average number of noncitizens removed from the United States for fiscal years 2026 through 2028?

420k

Comments

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Authors:

MAD2

Opened:

Closed:

Scheduled resolution:

Sudan Community

Geopolitics

2024 Leaderboard

Famine Crisis Worsens Amid Sudan's Ongoing Conflict

•Dec 25, 2024

Hunger in the shadow of conflict: analyzing malnutrition and humanitarian challenges in Sudan

•Dec 25, 2024

Sudan Faces Worsening Famine Crisis Amid Civil War

•Dec 25, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the overall population in Sudan facing high acute food insecurity (IPC Phase 3 or above) decrease to under 20 million by February 2025?

37%

How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection in the following fiscal years?

What will be the average number of noncitizens removed from the United States for fiscal years 2026 through 2028?

420k