Question

Before 2100, will AI cause the human population to fall below 5000 individuals?

9 comments9

Total Forecasters44

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

community: 1%

median 1.0%mean 19.1%

Authors:

lbiii

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Conditional Trees: AI Risk

Technology

Artificial Intelligence

If, before 2050, AI kills more than 1 million people, will the policy response be insufficient?

65%

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?

37%

Will extinction occur within 20 years of the human population falling below 400 million, if the population falls that much by 2100?

30%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

lbiii

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Conditional Trees: AI Risk

Technology

Artificial Intelligence

Silicon Valley has a plan to save humanity: Just flip on the nuclear reactors

CNN•Oct 1, 2024

'A lot of money is going to get wasted': MIT economist sounds the alarm on AI hype

Business Insider•Oct 2, 2024

MIT economist says AI can only handle 5% of jobs, fears stock crash

New York Post•Oct 3, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

If, before 2050, AI kills more than 1 million people, will the policy response be insufficient?

65%

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?

37%

Will extinction occur within 20 years of the human population falling below 400 million, if the population falls that much by 2100?

30%

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Before 2100, will AI cause the human population to fall below 5000 individuals?

Make a Prediction

If, before 2050, AI kills more than 1 million people, will the policy response be insufficient?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?

Will extinction occur within 20 years of the human population falling below 400 million, if the population falls that much by 2100?

Comments

If, before 2050, AI kills more than 1 million people, will the policy response be insufficient?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?

Will extinction occur within 20 years of the human population falling below 400 million, if the population falls that much by 2100?

If, before 2050, AI kills more than 1 million people, will the policy response be insufficient?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?

Will extinction occur within 20 years of the human population falling below 400 million, if the population falls that much by 2100?

If, before 2050, AI kills more than 1 million people, will the policy response be insufficient?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?

Will extinction occur within 20 years of the human population falling below 400 million, if the population falls that much by 2100?