Question

Before 2050, will an AI system be shut down due to exhibiting power-seeking behavior?

1 comment1

Total Forecasters12

Community Prediction70%

Make a Prediction

community: 70%

median 70.0%mean 69.2%

Authors:

lbiii

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Conditional Trees: AI Risk

Artificial Intelligence

Before 2030, will there be an AI-caused administrative disempowerment?

If, before 2050, AI kills more than 1 million people, will the policy response be insufficient?

65%

Will an AI system be reported to have independently gained unauthorized access to another computer system before 2033?

94%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

lbiii

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Conditional Trees: AI Risk

Artificial Intelligence

Before 2030, will there be an AI-caused administrative disempowerment?

If, before 2050, AI kills more than 1 million people, will the policy response be insufficient?

65%

Will an AI system be reported to have independently gained unauthorized access to another computer system before 2033?

94%

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Before 2050, will an AI system be shut down due to exhibiting power-seeking behavior?

Make a Prediction

Before 2030, will there be an AI-caused administrative disempowerment?

If, before 2050, AI kills more than 1 million people, will the policy response be insufficient?

Will an AI system be reported to have independently gained unauthorized access to another computer system before 2033?

Comments

Before 2030, will there be an AI-caused administrative disempowerment?

If, before 2050, AI kills more than 1 million people, will the policy response be insufficient?

Will an AI system be reported to have independently gained unauthorized access to another computer system before 2033?

Before 2030, will there be an AI-caused administrative disempowerment?

If, before 2050, AI kills more than 1 million people, will the policy response be insufficient?

Will an AI system be reported to have independently gained unauthorized access to another computer system before 2033?

Before 2030, will there be an AI-caused administrative disempowerment?

If, before 2050, AI kills more than 1 million people, will the policy response be insufficient?

Will an AI system be reported to have independently gained unauthorized access to another computer system before 2033?