Question

Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?

11 comments11

Total Forecasters37

Community Prediction1% (1% - 3%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Authors:

pedroacosta

Opened:

Aug 13, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Health & Pandemics

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Will the WHO declare H5 avian influenza to be a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) before 2026?

16%

When will human cases of HPAI clade 2.3.4.4b avian influenza exceed 500,000?

2038-04-15

Will the World Health Organization designate a new COVID-19 Variant of Concern before July 1, 2025?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

pedroacosta

Opened:

Aug 13, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Health & Pandemics

2024-2025 Leaderboard

Predictive Analysis: Pandemic 2.0 Will Drop Early in Trump Term

PJ Media•Feb 19, 2025

Mysterious ‘Disease X’ Outbreak Might Be Malaria. What We Know

Scientific American•Feb 19, 2025

Top doctor explains terrifying way Trump is letting world's deadly infections into America

Daily Mail•Feb 22, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the WHO declare H5 avian influenza to be a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) before 2026?

16%

When will human cases of HPAI clade 2.3.4.4b avian influenza exceed 500,000?

2038-04-15