M

Question

Between August 21 and Sept 11, 2024, will the strongest geomagnetic storm have a K-index ("Kp") greater than 7 and less than or equal to 8?

Resolved :No
60
Total Forecasters34
Community Prediction35%

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 35%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
0.0
Community Peer Score
0.0
median 35.0%mean 34.5%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
Authors:
Tom_Metaculus
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Include Bots:Yes
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