Question
Question
On December 31st, 2024, which organization will have the most intelligent publicly available AI model as judged by members of the Samotsvety forecasting group?
Forecast Timeline
Total Forecasters 7
Make a Prediction
| Organization | My Prediction | Me | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OpenAI | 68.9% | |||
Anthropic | 28.68% | |||
Google / DeepMind | 1.12% | |||
Meta | 0.55% | |||
xAI | 0.55% | |||
Microsoft | 0.1% | |||
Other | 0.1% | |||
Total: ?
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