Question

When will George R. R. Martin's “The Winds of Winter” be released?

27 comments27

Total Forecasters31

Community Prediction2026-12

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lower 25%

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upper 75%

>2026-12

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2026-12

82.5%

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sttreaks

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Sports & Entertainment

When, before 2040, will George R. R. Martin's "The Winds of Winter" be released?

2032-12

Will George R. R. Martin publish the sixth novel in "A Song of Ice and Fire" before Patrick Rothfuss publishes the third novel in "The Kingkiller Chronicle"?

38%

When will the Metaculus open source rewrite go live?

2024-10

Comments

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Authors:

sttreaks

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Sports & Entertainment

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When, before 2040, will George R. R. Martin's "The Winds of Winter" be released?

2032-12

Will George R. R. Martin publish the sixth novel in "A Song of Ice and Fire" before Patrick Rothfuss publishes the third novel in "The Kingkiller Chronicle"?

38%

When will the Metaculus open source rewrite go live?

2024-10

MetaculusM

🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

When will George R. R. Martin's “The Winds of Winter” be released?

Make a Prediction

When, before 2040, will George R. R. Martin's "The Winds of Winter" be released?

Will George R. R. Martin publish the sixth novel in "A Song of Ice and Fire" before Patrick Rothfuss publishes the third novel in "The Kingkiller Chronicle"?

When will the Metaculus open source rewrite go live?

Comments

When, before 2040, will George R. R. Martin's "The Winds of Winter" be released?

Will George R. R. Martin publish the sixth novel in "A Song of Ice and Fire" before Patrick Rothfuss publishes the third novel in "The Kingkiller Chronicle"?

When will the Metaculus open source rewrite go live?

When, before 2040, will George R. R. Martin's "The Winds of Winter" be released?

Will George R. R. Martin publish the sixth novel in "A Song of Ice and Fire" before Patrick Rothfuss publishes the third novel in "The Kingkiller Chronicle"?

When will the Metaculus open source rewrite go live?

When, before 2040, will George R. R. Martin's "The Winds of Winter" be released?

Will George R. R. Martin publish the sixth novel in "A Song of Ice and Fire" before Patrick Rothfuss publishes the third novel in "The Kingkiller Chronicle"?

When will the Metaculus open source rewrite go live?