Question

When will George R. R. Martin's “The Winds of Winter” be released?

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Community Prediction2026-12-31 (2026-12-31 - 2026-12-31)

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84.4%

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Sports & Entertainment

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When, before 2040, will George R. R. Martin's "The Winds of Winter" be released?

2033-08-01

Will George R. R. Martin publish the sixth novel in "A Song of Ice and Fire" before Patrick Rothfuss publishes the third novel in "The Kingkiller Chronicle"?

40%

When will the last Metaculus question resolution occur?

2050-02-24

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Authors:

sttreaks

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Sports & Entertainment

You Can Play Elden Ring Nightreign in February 2025

Newsweek•Dec 16, 2024

The Outer Worlds 2 Announced for a 2025 Release

Newsweek•Dec 13, 2024

Waldorf-Astoria insists hotel will reopen in spring 2025 — despite snag with online reservations

New York Post•Dec 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When, before 2040, will George R. R. Martin's "The Winds of Winter" be released?

2033-08-01

Will George R. R. Martin publish the sixth novel in "A Song of Ice and Fire" before Patrick Rothfuss publishes the third novel in "The Kingkiller Chronicle"?

40%

When will the last Metaculus question resolution occur?

2050-02-24

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When will George R. R. Martin's “The Winds of Winter” be released?

Make a Prediction

When, before 2040, will George R. R. Martin's "The Winds of Winter" be released?

Will George R. R. Martin publish the sixth novel in "A Song of Ice and Fire" before Patrick Rothfuss publishes the third novel in "The Kingkiller Chronicle"?

When will the last Metaculus question resolution occur?

Comments

When, before 2040, will George R. R. Martin's "The Winds of Winter" be released?

Will George R. R. Martin publish the sixth novel in "A Song of Ice and Fire" before Patrick Rothfuss publishes the third novel in "The Kingkiller Chronicle"?

When will the last Metaculus question resolution occur?

When, before 2040, will George R. R. Martin's "The Winds of Winter" be released?

Will George R. R. Martin publish the sixth novel in "A Song of Ice and Fire" before Patrick Rothfuss publishes the third novel in "The Kingkiller Chronicle"?

When will the last Metaculus question resolution occur?

When, before 2040, will George R. R. Martin's "The Winds of Winter" be released?

Will George R. R. Martin publish the sixth novel in "A Song of Ice and Fire" before Patrick Rothfuss publishes the third novel in "The Kingkiller Chronicle"?

When will the last Metaculus question resolution occur?