Question

What percentage of the Sudan Humanitarian Response Plan 2024 budget will be funded by December 31, 2024?

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Total Forecasters5

Community Prediction62.1 (60.1 - 63.3)

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

60.14

62.06

63.26

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Authors:

MAD2

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Scheduled resolution:

Sudan Community

Geopolitics

2024 Leaderboard

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Will the overall population in Sudan facing high acute food insecurity (IPC Phase 3 or above) decrease to under 20 million by February 2025?

37%

By how much will the new administration change the NIH budget in 2026 compared to 2024?

-1.61

How much will GiveWell update its cost-effectiveness estimate of GiveDirectly based on the results of the 2023-2024 follow-up of the Cash Transfers Study by UC Berkeley?

Comments

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Authors:

MAD2

Opened:

Closed:

Scheduled resolution:

Sudan Community

Geopolitics

2024 Leaderboard

Famine Crisis Worsens Amid Sudan's Ongoing Conflict

•Dec 25, 2024

Hunger in the shadow of conflict: analyzing malnutrition and humanitarian challenges in Sudan

•Dec 25, 2024

Sudan Faces Worsening Famine Crisis Amid Civil War

•Dec 25, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the overall population in Sudan facing high acute food insecurity (IPC Phase 3 or above) decrease to under 20 million by February 2025?

37%

By how much will the new administration change the NIH budget in 2026 compared to 2024?

-1.61

How much will GiveWell update its cost-effectiveness estimate of GiveDirectly based on the results of the 2023-2024 follow-up of the Cash Transfers Study by UC Berkeley?