Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will Mexico confirm Clade I mpox infections before October 1, 2024?

Resolved :No25.9%
57
Total Forecasters32
Community Prediction25.9% (17.5% - 32%)

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50%
community: 25.9%

Did this actually happen?No

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Tom_Metaculus
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