Question
How much will GiveWell guess it will cost to get an outcome as good as saving a life, at the end of 2021?
Resolved :Ambiguous631Total Forecasters65
Community Prediction631 (476 - 1.08k)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <300 | 5.0% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 475.7 | — |
| median | 631.4 | — |
| upper 75% | 1.079k | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >6k | 0.8% | — |
What was the final result?Ambiguous
Authors:
Opened:Jun 1, 2019
Closes:Jun 1, 2021
Resolves:Feb 2, 2022
Comments
? comments
Authors:
Opened:Jun 1, 2019
Closes:Jun 1, 2021
Resolves:Feb 2, 2022
