Question

Are we in a simulated reality? Part I

Resolved :No16%

19 comments19

Total Forecasters146

Community Prediction16% (7% - 31%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 16%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

73.8

Community Beer Score

39.7

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Space

Natural Sciences

2016-2021 Leaderboard

The Matrix (franchise)

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Assuming our future simulates us, what will be the first peer-reviewed guesses of our instantiation date?

13.1

Do we live in a false vacuum?

50%

Is the human being, as opposed to everything else in nature, an exception to causality? Rephrased: Is the entire universe deterministic?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Space

Natural Sciences

2016-2021 Leaderboard

The Matrix (franchise)

AI Will Turn Our Lives into The Truman Show

Scientific American•Dec 10, 2024

There Is Freedom Without Free Will

Psychology Today•Dec 10, 2024

The Rabbit Hole Without a Hole: The Illusion of AI

Psychology Today•Dec 10, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Assuming our future simulates us, what will be the first peer-reviewed guesses of our instantiation date?

13.1

Do we live in a false vacuum?

50%

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Are we in a simulated reality? Part I

Make a Prediction

Assuming our future simulates us, what will be the first peer-reviewed guesses of our instantiation date?

Do we live in a false vacuum?

Is the human being, as opposed to everything else in nature, an exception to causality? Rephrased: Is the entire universe deterministic?

Comments

Assuming our future simulates us, what will be the first peer-reviewed guesses of our instantiation date?

Do we live in a false vacuum?

Is the human being, as opposed to everything else in nature, an exception to causality? Rephrased: Is the entire universe deterministic?

Assuming our future simulates us, what will be the first peer-reviewed guesses of our instantiation date?

Do we live in a false vacuum?

Is the human being, as opposed to everything else in nature, an exception to causality? Rephrased: Is the entire universe deterministic?

Assuming our future simulates us, what will be the first peer-reviewed guesses of our instantiation date?

Do we live in a false vacuum?

Is the human being, as opposed to everything else in nature, an exception to causality? Rephrased: Is the entire universe deterministic?