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How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection in the following fiscal years?

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17 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

2026

2027

2025

2028

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Fiscal Year

median

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Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Sep 25, 2024

Closes:

Sep 30, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Oct 30, 2026

🗽Forecast the State of the Union 🗽

Politics

2024-2025 Leaderboard

Migrant Encounters on Southwest Border Drop 96 Percent from Last Year

Breitbart•Feb 12, 2025

Idle buses, empty Border Patrol boats: Arrests for illegal crossings fall in the Rio Grande Valley

Associated Press•Feb 16, 2025

Comparing deportations under Trump's first term to past presidents

Snopes•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection for February 2025?

57.4k

How many immigrants to the US will obtain lawful permanent resident status in the following fiscal years?

1.09M

What will be the average number of noncitizens removed from the United States for fiscal years 2026 through 2028?

660k

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Sep 25, 2024

Closes:

Sep 30, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Oct 30, 2026

🗽Forecast the State of the Union 🗽

Politics

2024-2025 Leaderboard

Migrant Encounters on Southwest Border Drop 96 Percent from Last Year

Breitbart•Feb 12, 2025

Idle buses, empty Border Patrol boats: Arrests for illegal crossings fall in the Rio Grande Valley

Associated Press•Feb 16, 2025

Comparing deportations under Trump's first term to past presidents

Snopes•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection for February 2025?

57.4k

How many immigrants to the US will obtain lawful permanent resident status in the following fiscal years?

1.09M

What will be the average number of noncitizens removed from the United States for fiscal years 2026 through 2028?

660k