Question

Will 1 million Russian personnel losses be reported before 2026?

22 comments22

Total Forecasters30

Community Prediction70% (64% - 80%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 70%

Authors:

RuslanBes

Opened:

Sep 13, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 3, 2026

Geopolitics

2024-2025 Leaderboard

New report says Russia is better able to withstand heavy battlefield losses than Ukraine

Associated Press•Feb 13, 2025

Russia Could Run Out of Tanks by 2026: Report

Newsweek•Feb 13, 2025

Russian Advances in Ukraine Slowing Down Despite Rise in Casualties: ISW

Newsweek•Feb 15, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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0.4%

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