Question
When will the human brain first be successfully emulated in full?
Total Forecasters171
Community Prediction
2070
(2040 - 2194)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 2040 | — |
| median | 2070 | — |
| upper 75% | 2194 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >1042891200000% | 19.0% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Jun 29, 2019
Closes:Dec 31, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2300
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 1, 2019
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Authors:
Opened:Jun 29, 2019
Closes:Dec 31, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2300
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 1, 2019