Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

MetaculusM

Group

When will these diseases be eradicated according to the WHO?

3

3 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Lymphatic filariasis (elephantiasis)

Malaria

Measles

Polio

Mumps

Cysticercosis (pork tapeworm)

Make a Prediction

Disease	25th	median	75th
Dracunculiasis (Guinea worm)	2030-10-13 ...	2035-12-04 ...	2050-01-01 ...
Polio	2035-11-26 ...	2040-05-24 ...	2050-01-01 ...
Yaws	2029-03-19 ...	2034-09-07 ...	2050-01-01 ...
Malaria	2040-10-04 ...	2049-05-13 ...	2050-01-01 ...
Lymphatic filariasis (elephantiasis)	2041-12-06 ...	2050-01-01 ...	2050-01-01 ...
Cysticercosis (pork tapeworm)	2032-07-11 ...	2039-08-11 ...	2050-01-01 ...
Measles	2038-11-11 ...	2042-12-13 ...	2050-01-01 ...
Mumps	2031-09-18 ...	2040-01-24 ...	2050-01-01 ...
Rubella	2032-04-25 ...	2039-02-23 ...	2050-01-01 ...

weight:

My Prediction

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2050-01-01

...

...

...

...

2030-10-13 03:13

2035-12-04 20:35

>2050-01-01 00:00

39.7%

Learn more about scores here.

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Scheduled resolution:

Natural Sciences

Health & Pandemics

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Authors:

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Natural Sciences

Health & Pandemics