Question

Will the overall population in Sudan facing high acute food insecurity (IPC Phase 3 or above) decrease to under 20 million by February 2025?

-1

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Total Forecasters3

Community Prediction37% (37% - 38%)

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50%

community: 37%

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Authors:

MAD2

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Sudan Community

Geopolitics

Health & Pandemics

2024-2025 Leaderboard

Famine Crisis Worsens Amid Sudan's Ongoing Conflict

•Dec 25, 2024

Sudan’s war is ‘deepening and widening’ a famine crisis, hunger monitoring report says

Associated Press•Dec 24, 2024

Famine spreading in war-torn Sudan, UN-backed report says

Al Jazeera•Dec 25, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

If there's a 10% global agricultural shortfall by 2030, will this cause >400 million fatalities?

34.7%

Will Argentina's year-over-year inflation be below 30% for December 2025?

51%

If the US is attacked by >100 nuclear detonations by 2045, will US cereal crop yields decline by ≥20%?

85%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

MAD2

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Sudan Community

Geopolitics

Health & Pandemics

2024-2025 Leaderboard

Famine Crisis Worsens Amid Sudan's Ongoing Conflict

•Dec 25, 2024

Sudan’s war is ‘deepening and widening’ a famine crisis, hunger monitoring report says

Associated Press•Dec 24, 2024

Famine spreading in war-torn Sudan, UN-backed report says

Al Jazeera•Dec 25, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

If there's a 10% global agricultural shortfall by 2030, will this cause >400 million fatalities?

34.7%

Will Argentina's year-over-year inflation be below 30% for December 2025?

51%

If the US is attacked by >100 nuclear detonations by 2045, will US cereal crop yields decline by ≥20%?

85%