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What will the US homicide rate per 100,000 be in the following years?

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6 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

2026

2028

Make a Prediction

Year

median

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Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Sep 25, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2028

Scheduled resolution:

Nov 1, 2029

🗽Forecast the State of the Union 🗽

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What will the US murder rate be in 2030?

5.58

How many mass shootings will be reported in the United States in the following years?

609

What will be the global rate of homicide deaths per 100,000 people in the following years?

5.32

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Sep 25, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2028

Scheduled resolution:

Nov 1, 2029

🗽Forecast the State of the Union 🗽

Politics

Social Sciences

Today's Mortgage Rates | Rates Dip Back Down to Mid-6% Range

Business Insider•Feb 17, 2025

Today's Mortgage Rates | Rates Seem Stuck

Business Insider•Feb 17, 2025

Plane crashes 2025: How many have there been in the US, how many people have been killed?

USA Today•Feb 18, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will the US murder rate be in 2030?

5.58

How many mass shootings will be reported in the United States in the following years?

609

What will be the global rate of homicide deaths per 100,000 people in the following years?

5.32