Group

How many immigrants to the US will obtain lawful permanent resident status in the following fiscal years?

5 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

2028

2026

Make a Prediction

Fiscal Year	25th	median	75th
2026	627k ...	719k ...	855k ...
2028	633k ...	733k ...	852k ...

weight:

My Prediction

community

<500k

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2M

...

7.7%

627.1k

718.9k

855.3k

0.3%

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

🗽Forecast the State of the Union 🗽

Politics

Map Shows States With Fastest-Growing Immigrant Populations

Newsweek•Dec 20, 2024

Census Bureau Massively Revises Up Population Growth: +8 Million in 3 Years, +3.3 Million Last Year, Largely due to Immigration. US Population Surges to 340 Million

•Dec 20, 2024

Immigration drives US population growth to highest rate in 23 years as residents pass 340 million

•Dec 20, 2024

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How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection in the following fiscal years?

1.84M

What will be the average number of noncitizens removed from the United States for fiscal years 2026 through 2028?

432k

What will be the federal deficit in the United States in the following fiscal years in millions of dollars?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

🗽Forecast the State of the Union 🗽

Politics

Map Shows States With Fastest-Growing Immigrant Populations

Newsweek•Dec 20, 2024

Census Bureau Massively Revises Up Population Growth: +8 Million in 3 Years, +3.3 Million Last Year, Largely due to Immigration. US Population Surges to 340 Million

•Dec 20, 2024

Immigration drives US population growth to highest rate in 23 years as residents pass 340 million

•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection in the following fiscal years?

1.84M

What will be the average number of noncitizens removed from the United States for fiscal years 2026 through 2028?

432k

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How many immigrants to the US will obtain lawful permanent resident status in the following fiscal years?

Forecast Timeline

Make a Prediction

How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection in the following fiscal years?

What will be the average number of noncitizens removed from the United States for fiscal years 2026 through 2028?

What will be the federal deficit in the United States in the following fiscal years in millions of dollars?

Comments

How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection in the following fiscal years?

What will be the average number of noncitizens removed from the United States for fiscal years 2026 through 2028?

What will be the federal deficit in the United States in the following fiscal years in millions of dollars?

How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection in the following fiscal years?

What will be the average number of noncitizens removed from the United States for fiscal years 2026 through 2028?

What will be the federal deficit in the United States in the following fiscal years in millions of dollars?

How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection in the following fiscal years?

What will be the average number of noncitizens removed from the United States for fiscal years 2026 through 2028?

What will be the federal deficit in the United States in the following fiscal years in millions of dollars?