Question

Will the World Health Organization prequalify moxidectin before 2027?

9 comments9

Total Forecasters21

Community Prediction88% (85% - 90%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 88%

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Oct 21, 2024

Closes:

Dec 30, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2027

Forecast With GiveWell

Health & Pandemics

Forecast With GiveWell Comment Prize

This New Drug Could Help End the HIV Epidemic—but US Funding Cuts Are Killing Its Rollout

Wired•Feb 22, 2025

Scientists worried about CSIRO-backed plan to release genetically modified mosquitos in Queensland

Guardian•Feb 25, 2025

Why the good news about the mpox outbreak of 2025 isn't really good after all

NPR Online News•Feb 25, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the President’s Malaria Initiative program cease to exist before January 1, 2026?

75%

Will the study of oral rehydration solution and zinc distribution in Sierra Leone find a statistically significant increase in ORS/zinc usage by the recipients?

92%

Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?

Comments

? comments