Question
How much will GiveWell update its cost-effectiveness estimate of GiveDirectly based on the results of the 2023-2024 follow-up of the Cash Transfers Study by UC Berkeley?
Total Forecasters10
Community Prediction50 (29.4 - 50)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
My Prediction
community<-25
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>50
...
...
...
...
...
1.2%
29.42
>50
>50
55.5%
Authors:
Opened:Oct 21, 2024
Closes:Jul 1, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jul 1, 2025
Comments
? comments
Authors:
Opened:Oct 21, 2024
Closes:Jul 1, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jul 1, 2025
