🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

/Brown University Forecasting Team
Question

What is the probability that the weather in Warwick, RI will fall below 43 degrees F at any point between now and next meeting (10/10)?

Resolved :No13%
0
Total Forecasters27
Community Prediction13% (10% - 15%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 13%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
72.6
Community Peer Score
20.7
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
quinoa
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Brown University Forecasting Team
2024 Leaderboard

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