Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

/David Mathers' Community
Question

Will US government forbid an AI training run outside the US for national security reasons by 2038?

0
Total Forecasters2
Community Prediction17.5% (15% - 20%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 17.5%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
DavidA.B.Mathers
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:

Comments

? comments