Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

/Nonzero Newsletter Community
Question

Will Donald Trump concede if he loses the 2024 presidential election?

Resolved :Annulled5%
0
Total Forecasters24
Community Prediction5% (0.1% - 15%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 5%

Did this actually happen?Annulled

Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
NonzeroNews
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics

Comments

? comments