Question

Will Lula be a candidate for president of Brazil in 2026?

8 comments8

Total Forecasters63

Community Prediction45% (29% - 74%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 45%

Authors:

lbarbosa

Opened:

Oct 25, 2024

Closes:

Jun 1, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Aug 15, 2025

Brazil Forecast Community

Politics

Why Brazil's Lula is bleeding support

Raw Story•Feb 18, 2025

Ex-Brazil President Bolsonaro charged over alleged coup that included plan to poison Lula

NBC•Feb 19, 2025

Ex-Brazil President Bolsonaro Charged With Overseeing Alleged Coup Plot That Included Plan To Poison Successor Lula

Forbes•Feb 19, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva be reelected as Brazil's president in October of 2026?

39%

How popular will President Lula be at the end of the first quarter of 2025?

43.9

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33%

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