Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

/Nonzero Newsletter Community

Question

Will at least three of the five major networks declare a winner in the upcoming US presidential election by noon ET on Nov. 6?

Resolved :Yes50%

Total Forecasters9

Community Prediction50% (30% - 60%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 50%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

12.5

Community Peer Score

19.9

Learn more about scores here.

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