Question

Will the US break up Google before 1 January 2026?

11 comments11

Total Forecasters86

Community Prediction5% (2% - 10%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 5%

Authors:

pashka24

Opened:

Nov 9, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

2024-2025 Leaderboard

Google is on the Wrong Side of History

Electronic Frontier Foundation•Feb 14, 2025

Google makes its appeal to overturn jury verdict branding the Play Store as illegal monopoly

Associated Press•Feb 16, 2025

China launches an antitrust probe into Google. Here’s what it means

Associated Press•Feb 15, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the US pass a federal bill on AI regulation before January 1, 2026?

67%

Will Google's search market share drop below 85% in 2025?

15%

On December 31, 2025, will Google, Meta, Amazon, Tesla, or X accept crypto as a payment?

60%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

pashka24

Opened:

Nov 9, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

2024-2025 Leaderboard

Google is on the Wrong Side of History

Electronic Frontier Foundation•Feb 14, 2025

Google makes its appeal to overturn jury verdict branding the Play Store as illegal monopoly

Associated Press•Feb 16, 2025

China launches an antitrust probe into Google. Here’s what it means

Associated Press•Feb 15, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the US pass a federal bill on AI regulation before January 1, 2026?

67%

Will Google's search market share drop below 85% in 2025?

15%

On December 31, 2025, will Google, Meta, Amazon, Tesla, or X accept crypto as a payment?

60%