Question
Question
Will the USDA's Center for Veterinary Biologics grant a license for a highly pathogenic avian influenza H5 vaccine in dairy cattle before July 1, 2025?
Total Forecasters5
Community Prediction69%
Make a Prediction
median 69.0%mean 67.0%
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Before 2025, will the following occur relating to pasteurized milk and avian influenza H5N1 in the United States?
Will an H5 virus receive an "emergence" risk rating categorized as "high" by the US CDC Influenza Risk Assessment Tool before January 1, 2026?
7%
Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?
33%
Comments
? comments
Authors:
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Before 2025, will the following occur relating to pasteurized milk and avian influenza H5N1 in the United States?
Will an H5 virus receive an "emergence" risk rating categorized as "high" by the US CDC Influenza Risk Assessment Tool before January 1, 2026?
7%
Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?
33%