Question

How many small firearms per capita will there be in the US in 2029?

6 comments6

Total Forecasters46

Community Prediction1.4 (1.18 - 1.68)

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weight:

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

1.179

1.404

1.677

6.1%

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Authors:

Sylvain

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Who owns guns in the US? The gender gap is closing for conservatives.

USA Today•Dec 19, 2024

3D-printed guns, like the one allegedly used to kill a health care CEO, are a growing threat in the US and around the world

The Conversation•Dec 20, 2024

For Most U.S. Gun Owners, Protection Is the Main Reason They Own a Gun

•Dec 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many mass shootings will be reported in the United States in the following years?

629

Will a new constitutional amendment concerning firearms be ratified in the United States before 2029?

Will countries possess a total of >20,000 nuclear weapons on December 31, 2029?

10%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Sylvain

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Who owns guns in the US? The gender gap is closing for conservatives.

USA Today•Dec 19, 2024

3D-printed guns, like the one allegedly used to kill a health care CEO, are a growing threat in the US and around the world

The Conversation•Dec 20, 2024

For Most U.S. Gun Owners, Protection Is the Main Reason They Own a Gun

•Dec 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many mass shootings will be reported in the United States in the following years?

629

Will a new constitutional amendment concerning firearms be ratified in the United States before 2029?

Will countries possess a total of >20,000 nuclear weapons on December 31, 2029?

10%

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How many small firearms per capita will there be in the US in 2029?

Make a Prediction

How many mass shootings will be reported in the United States in the following years?

Will a new constitutional amendment concerning firearms be ratified in the United States before 2029?

Will countries possess a total of >20,000 nuclear weapons on December 31, 2029?

Comments

How many mass shootings will be reported in the United States in the following years?

Will a new constitutional amendment concerning firearms be ratified in the United States before 2029?

Will countries possess a total of >20,000 nuclear weapons on December 31, 2029?

How many mass shootings will be reported in the United States in the following years?

Will a new constitutional amendment concerning firearms be ratified in the United States before 2029?

Will countries possess a total of >20,000 nuclear weapons on December 31, 2029?

How many mass shootings will be reported in the United States in the following years?

Will a new constitutional amendment concerning firearms be ratified in the United States before 2029?

Will countries possess a total of >20,000 nuclear weapons on December 31, 2029?