Question
When will an AI pass the laugh test?
Total Forecasters94
Community Prediction2025-11-02 (2024-09-30 - 2028-10-20)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
lower 25% | Sep 2024 | — |
median | Nov 2025 | — |
upper 75% | Oct 2028 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>2050-08-06 | 6.9% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Aug 15, 2019
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Aug 15, 2019
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050