Question

When will an AI pass the laugh test?

9 comments9

Total Forecasters94

Community Prediction2025-10

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2050-08

...

2024-04

2025-10

2029-06

8.1%

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AI Demonstrations

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

The Simpsons

Artificial intelligence

When will an AI first pass a long, informed, adversarial Turing test?

2029-01

Will AI be able to watch a movie and tell you accurately what is going on before 2030?

99%

How many years after the silver Turing Test is passed will an AGI system be developed?

1.37

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AI Demonstrations

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

The Simpsons

Artificial intelligence

When will an AI first pass a long, informed, adversarial Turing test?

2029-01

Will AI be able to watch a movie and tell you accurately what is going on before 2030?

99%

How many years after the silver Turing Test is passed will an AGI system be developed?

1.37

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When will an AI pass the laugh test?

Make a Prediction

When will an AI first pass a long, informed, adversarial Turing test?

Will AI be able to watch a movie and tell you accurately what is going on before 2030?

How many years after the silver Turing Test is passed will an AGI system be developed?

Comments

When will an AI first pass a long, informed, adversarial Turing test?

Will AI be able to watch a movie and tell you accurately what is going on before 2030?

How many years after the silver Turing Test is passed will an AGI system be developed?

When will an AI first pass a long, informed, adversarial Turing test?

Will AI be able to watch a movie and tell you accurately what is going on before 2030?

How many years after the silver Turing Test is passed will an AGI system be developed?

When will an AI first pass a long, informed, adversarial Turing test?

Will AI be able to watch a movie and tell you accurately what is going on before 2030?

How many years after the silver Turing Test is passed will an AGI system be developed?