Question

Will Bluesky reach 30 million users before 1 January 2025?

38 comments38

Total Forecasters119

Community Prediction0.1% (0.1% - 1%)

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50%

community: 0.1%

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skmmcj

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🏆 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Technology

2024 Leaderboard

With 25M users, Bluesky gets a $1M fund to take on social media and AI

TechCrunch•Dec 19, 2024

Bluesky adds mentions tab in the notifications screen and username squatting protection

TechCrunch•Dec 20, 2024

Progressives flee X for Bluesky, where they can harass others in peace

New York Post•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Threads report more monthly active users than Twitter before 2026?

Will BirdCast report 1 billion birds flying over the United States at any point before January 1, 2025?

0.1%

Will Meta report 1 billion active users by December 31, 2031?

23%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

skmmcj

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

🏆 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Technology

2024 Leaderboard

With 25M users, Bluesky gets a $1M fund to take on social media and AI

TechCrunch•Dec 19, 2024

Bluesky adds mentions tab in the notifications screen and username squatting protection

TechCrunch•Dec 20, 2024

Progressives flee X for Bluesky, where they can harass others in peace

New York Post•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Threads report more monthly active users than Twitter before 2026?

Will BirdCast report 1 billion birds flying over the United States at any point before January 1, 2025?

0.1%

Will Meta report 1 billion active users by December 31, 2031?

23%

Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

MetaculusM

Will Bluesky reach 30 million users before 1 January 2025?

Make a Prediction

Will Threads report more monthly active users than Twitter before 2026?

Will BirdCast report 1 billion birds flying over the United States at any point before January 1, 2025?

Will Meta report 1 billion active users by December 31, 2031?

Comments

Will Threads report more monthly active users than Twitter before 2026?

Will BirdCast report 1 billion birds flying over the United States at any point before January 1, 2025?

Will Meta report 1 billion active users by December 31, 2031?

Will Threads report more monthly active users than Twitter before 2026?

Will BirdCast report 1 billion birds flying over the United States at any point before January 1, 2025?

Will Meta report 1 billion active users by December 31, 2031?

Will Threads report more monthly active users than Twitter before 2026?

Will BirdCast report 1 billion birds flying over the United States at any point before January 1, 2025?

Will Meta report 1 billion active users by December 31, 2031?