MetaculusM

Question

Will the United States and Iran sign a new agreement restricting Iran's nuclear program before 2029?

8

Total Forecasters16

Community Prediction

19%

(15% - 24%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 19%

Authors:

Opened:

Dec 8, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2028

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2029

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 13, 2024

Nuclear Technology & Risks

US Threatens 'All Options on the Table' for Iran

Newsweek•Mar 24, 2025

Iranian Regime’s Nuclear Crisis and Diplomatic Tensions: Negotiation or Confrontation?

American Thinker•Mar 23, 2025

Trumps Gives Iran's Mullahs a Nuclear Ultimatum

Townhall•Mar 22, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Opened:

Dec 8, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2028

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2029

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 13, 2024

Nuclear Technology & Risks

US Threatens 'All Options on the Table' for Iran

Newsweek•Mar 24, 2025

Iranian Regime’s Nuclear Crisis and Diplomatic Tensions: Negotiation or Confrontation?

American Thinker•Mar 23, 2025

Trumps Gives Iran's Mullahs a Nuclear Ultimatum

Townhall•Mar 22, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch