Question
Question
When will the odds ratio of Metaculus' community prediction of the chance of AI catastrophe by 2100 either half or double from its value on 2019-08-21?
Resolved :Mar 1, 2020Total Forecasters27
Community Prediction2022-11-11
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My Prediction
communitylower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2060-01-01
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2020-09-10 16:01
2022-11-11 19:23
2029-12-31 17:21
1.0%
What was the final result?Mar 1, 2020
Community Baseline Score
0.1
Community Peer Score
0.2
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