Group
Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025?
Forecast Timeline
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| Nominee | My Prediction | Me | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (Secretary of Health and Human Services) | - | |||
Tulsi Gabbard (Director of National Intelligence) | - | |||
Any of Trump’s Other Nominees (See Fine Print) | - | |||
Authors:
Opened:Jan 30, 2025
Closes:Mar 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Mar 31, 2025
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will at least one announced Trump Cabinet nominee other than Matt Gaetz be withdrawn or rejected by the Senate before July 1, 2025?
60%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be confirmed by the US Senate as Secretary of Health and Human Services before April 1, 2025?
88%
How many of Donald Trump's appointments to the cabinet will not be confirmed by the Senate?
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Authors:
Opened:Jan 30, 2025
Closes:Mar 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Mar 31, 2025
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will at least one announced Trump Cabinet nominee other than Matt Gaetz be withdrawn or rejected by the Senate before July 1, 2025?
60%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be confirmed by the US Senate as Secretary of Health and Human Services before April 1, 2025?
88%