Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

How many Starlink satellites will be in operation on January 1, 2028?

20
42
Total Forecasters100
Community Prediction11.1k (7.09k - 17.1k)

Make a Prediction

weight:
My Prediction
community
<1
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>100k
...
...
...
...
...
0.7%
7.086k
11.07k
17.13k
1.7%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Sylvain
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Computing and Math
Space
Technology
Starlink
SpaceX

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