M

Question

What is the probability that Gore will defeat Bush in the 2000 US Presidential Election?

Resolved :Annulled0.645
Total Forecasters58
Community Prediction0.645 (0.01 - 39.2)

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CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<0.0133.6%
Quartiles
lower 25%<0.01
median0.6453
upper 75%39.24

What was the final result?Annulled

Authors:
Opened:Sep 9, 2019
Closes:Jan 1, 2500
Resolves:Jan 1, 2500

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