Question

Will the US Department of Health and Human Services declare a public health emergency for H5 avian influenza before January 1, 2026?

19 comments19

Total Forecasters40

Community Prediction15% (9% - 22%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 15%

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Dec 11, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Respiratory Outlook 2024/25

Health & Pandemics

2024-2025 Leaderboard

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Will the WHO declare H5 avian influenza to be a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) before 2026?

19%

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?

61%

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