MetaculusM

Question

Will Israel be found guilty in South Africa's genocide case by the ICJ before January 1, 2027?

9

Total Forecasters37

Community Prediction38% (34% - 69%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 38%

Authors:

Opened:

Dec 23, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2027

Is the ICC losing its relevance as major powers opt out

Strategic Culture•Feb 28, 2025

On a pause from genocide, Israel turns its focus to ethnic cleansing

Al Jazeera•Feb 28, 2025

B’Tselem in the Crosshairs

AntiWar•Mar 5, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Comments

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Authors:

Opened:

Dec 23, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2027

Is the ICC losing its relevance as major powers opt out

Strategic Culture•Feb 28, 2025

On a pause from genocide, Israel turns its focus to ethnic cleansing

Al Jazeera•Feb 28, 2025

B’Tselem in the Crosshairs

AntiWar•Mar 5, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch