Question

Will Israel be found guilty in South Africa's genocide case by the ICJ before January 1, 2027?

1 comment1

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50%

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Authors:

EdwardStoppard

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Verity

Law

Geopolitics

Finding the Unmentionable: Amnesty International, Israel and Genocide

CounterPunch•Dec 16, 2024

World Court Judges Pose Additional Questions In Climate Change Opinion

Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

Israel accused of act of genocide over restriction of Gaza water supply

Guardian•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will any two countries out of the US, UK, Germany, Canada, France, or Australia curtail diplomatic ties with Israel before 2025, citing Israel’s military actions in Gaza?

0.1%

Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict before January 1, 2030?

Before January 1, 2026, will Israel formally lift its warnings against Palestinians returning to northern Gaza?

40%

Comments

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Authors:

EdwardStoppard

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Verity

Law

Geopolitics

Finding the Unmentionable: Amnesty International, Israel and Genocide

CounterPunch•Dec 16, 2024

World Court Judges Pose Additional Questions In Climate Change Opinion

Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

Israel accused of act of genocide over restriction of Gaza water supply

Guardian•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will any two countries out of the US, UK, Germany, Canada, France, or Australia curtail diplomatic ties with Israel before 2025, citing Israel’s military actions in Gaza?

0.1%

Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict before January 1, 2030?

Before January 1, 2026, will Israel formally lift its warnings against Palestinians returning to northern Gaza?

40%

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

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Will Israel be found guilty in South Africa's genocide case by the ICJ before January 1, 2027?

Make a Prediction

Will any two countries out of the US, UK, Germany, Canada, France, or Australia curtail diplomatic ties with Israel before 2025, citing Israel’s military actions in Gaza?

Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict before January 1, 2030?

Before January 1, 2026, will Israel formally lift its warnings against Palestinians returning to northern Gaza?

Comments

Will any two countries out of the US, UK, Germany, Canada, France, or Australia curtail diplomatic ties with Israel before 2025, citing Israel’s military actions in Gaza?

Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict before January 1, 2030?

Before January 1, 2026, will Israel formally lift its warnings against Palestinians returning to northern Gaza?

Will any two countries out of the US, UK, Germany, Canada, France, or Australia curtail diplomatic ties with Israel before 2025, citing Israel’s military actions in Gaza?

Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict before January 1, 2030?

Before January 1, 2026, will Israel formally lift its warnings against Palestinians returning to northern Gaza?

Will any two countries out of the US, UK, Germany, Canada, France, or Australia curtail diplomatic ties with Israel before 2025, citing Israel’s military actions in Gaza?

Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict before January 1, 2030?

Before January 1, 2026, will Israel formally lift its warnings against Palestinians returning to northern Gaza?