🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

How many Cabinet-level Trump nominations will be confirmed by the US Senate before February 1, 2025?

4
11 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 11

Make a Prediction

Number ConfirmedMe
2 or fewer
6.4%
3 to 5
39.3%
6 to 8
28.9%
9 to 11
15.6%
12 to 14
8.1%
15 or more
1.7%
Total: ?
(? remaining)
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
BrunoParga
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Bridgewater Forecasting Contest Warmup
Politics

Comments

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