Question
Who will win the bet between Gary Marcus and Miles Brundage about the state of AI at the end of 2027?
Forecast Timeline
Total Forecasters 46
Make a Prediction
| Participant | My Prediction | Me | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Gary Marcus | 82% | |||
Miles Brundage | 18% | |||
Total: ?
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Authors:
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Will more than two of Gary Marcus' proposed AI achievements come to pass before 2030?
96%
Will AI be able to read a novel and reliably answer questions about it before 2030?
99%
Will an AI be able to take arbitrary proofs from the mathematical literature and convert them into a symbolic form suitable for verification before 2030?
90%
Comments
? comments
Authors:
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Will more than two of Gary Marcus' proposed AI achievements come to pass before 2030?
96%
Will AI be able to read a novel and reliably answer questions about it before 2030?
99%
Will an AI be able to take arbitrary proofs from the mathematical literature and convert them into a symbolic form suitable for verification before 2030?
90%