MetaculusM

Question

Will US federal interest rates at the end of 2025 be lower than at the end of 2024?

40

Total Forecasters1514

Community Prediction75% (60% - 85%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 75%

Authors:

Opened:

Jan 10, 2025

Closes:

Dec 30, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 5, 2026

ACX 2025 Prediction Contest

Economy & Business

2025 Leaderboard

Hot Inflation In January 2025 Reduces Odds Of Fed Interest Rate Cuts

Forbes•Feb 12, 2025

Analysts are revising their mortgage rate forecasts for 2025, and it paints a tougher picture for homebuyers

Business Insider•Feb 16, 2025

Markets Expect A December Fed Rate Cut, But Future Policy Is Uncertain

Forbes•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the US unemployment rate in November 2025 be below the rate in November 2024?

Will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index be lower in November 2025 than it was in November 2024?

What will the US effective fed funds rate be in the following years?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Opened:

Jan 10, 2025

Closes:

Dec 30, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 5, 2026

ACX 2025 Prediction Contest

Economy & Business

2025 Leaderboard

Hot Inflation In January 2025 Reduces Odds Of Fed Interest Rate Cuts

Forbes•Feb 12, 2025

Analysts are revising their mortgage rate forecasts for 2025, and it paints a tougher picture for homebuyers

Business Insider•Feb 16, 2025

Markets Expect A December Fed Rate Cut, But Future Policy Is Uncertain

Forbes•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the US unemployment rate in November 2025 be below the rate in November 2024?

Will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index be lower in November 2025 than it was in November 2024?

What will the US effective fed funds rate be in the following years?