Question

Will artificial general intelligence (AGI) arrive in 2025?

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Total Forecasters1

Community Prediction33% (33% - 33%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 33%

Authors:

lbarbosa

Opened:

Jan 5, 2025

Closes:

Jan 1, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 2, 2026

Gary Marcus's AI Forecasts

Artificial Intelligence

Meta says it may stop development of AI systems it deems too risky

TechCrunch•Feb 16, 2025

SoftBank’s Masayoshi Son says AGI will arrive ‘much earlier’ than he thought

Verge•Feb 16, 2025

Global disunity, energy concerns and the shadow of Musk: key takeaways from the Paris AI summit

Guardian•Feb 16, 2025

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Will a major AI lab claim in 2025 that they have developed AGI?

17%

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