Question

Will Greenland become independent before 2035?

5 comments5

Total Forecasters13

Community Prediction12% (7% - 45%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 12%

Authors:

adamig

Opened:

Jan 13, 2025

Closes:

Dec 30, 2034

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2034

Politics

Geopolitics

Independence in focus in Greenland vote, with Trump as backdrop

Raw Story•Mar 8, 2025

‘Historic moment’: Greenland steps into global spotlight ahead of snap vote

Al Jazeera•Mar 10, 2025

Greenland election: the most consequential in island’s history?

Guardian•Mar 11, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the government of Greenland officially announce a date for an independence referendum, before April 6, 2025?

1.2%

Will the United States and Denmark announce formal negotiations over the possible transfer of sovereignty of Greenland to the United States before 2026?

Will Scotland leave the United Kingdom before 2030?

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