MetaculusM

Question

Will Greenland become independent before 2035?

7

Total Forecasters12

Community Prediction10% (5% - 16%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 10%

Authors:

Opened:

Jan 13, 2025

Closes:

Dec 30, 2034

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2034

Trump won’t rule out force to take Greenland – a country with a complex colonial history

The Conversation•Jan 21, 2025

Greenland Is Not for Sale

Jacobin•Jan 21, 2025

Greenland has no ‘ambition’ to join United States – but independence from Denmark possible, minister says

New York Post•Jan 22, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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Authors:

Opened:

Jan 13, 2025

Closes:

Dec 30, 2034

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2034

Trump won’t rule out force to take Greenland – a country with a complex colonial history

The Conversation•Jan 21, 2025

Greenland Is Not for Sale

Jacobin•Jan 21, 2025

Greenland has no ‘ambition’ to join United States – but independence from Denmark possible, minister says

New York Post•Jan 22, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch