Question

Will at least twice as many deportations by U.S. ICE occur in Fiscal Year 2025 compared with Fiscal Year 2024?

48 comments48

Total Forecasters1272

Community Prediction

25%

(15% - 44%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 25%

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Jan 10, 2025

Closes:

Dec 1, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 19, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 1, 2025

ACX 2025 Prediction Contest

Law

Politics

2025 Leaderboard

Deportations Haven’t Surged Under Trump. But Here’s How They’ve Changed.

New York Times•Mar 23, 2025

Episodes From the Great Disappearance

CounterPunch•Mar 21, 2025

ICE Reveals How Many Deportations Have Been Carried Out Under Trump

Newsweek•Mar 20, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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