M

/AI Warning Signs

Question

Will any country threaten or commit an act of aggression explicitly due to an AI capabilities race before 2030?

Total Forecasters9

Community Prediction77% (45% - 80%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 77%

Authors:

Opened:

Jan 15, 2025

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

AI Warning Signs

Artificial Intelligence

Experts share chilling warning over DeepSeek as it sparks 'Lord Of the Rings race' for superhuman intelligence

Daily Mail•Feb 15, 2025

AI’s Perspective on Global Conflicts: Self-Determination a Key Criteria for Fairness.

Lew Rockwell•Feb 16, 2025

Global disunity, energy concerns and the shadow of Musk: key takeaways from the Paris AI summit

Guardian•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Comments

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Authors:

Opened:

Jan 15, 2025

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

AI Warning Signs

Artificial Intelligence

Experts share chilling warning over DeepSeek as it sparks 'Lord Of the Rings race' for superhuman intelligence

Daily Mail•Feb 15, 2025

AI’s Perspective on Global Conflicts: Self-Determination a Key Criteria for Fairness.

Lew Rockwell•Feb 16, 2025

Global disunity, energy concerns and the shadow of Musk: key takeaways from the Paris AI summit

Guardian•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch