Question

Will there be any active, large, non-contained fires in California on February 15, 2025?

Resolved :No0.2%

27 comments27

Total Forecasters173

Community Prediction0.2% (0.1% - 2%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 0.2%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

81.1

Community Peer Score

19.3

Authors:

skmmcj

Opened:

Jan 10, 2025

Closes:

Feb 14, 2025

Resolves:

Feb 15, 2025

🏆 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Environment & Climate

2025 Leaderboard

North and South Carolina Wildfire Map Shows Where Fires Could Spread

Newsweek•Mar 4, 2025

Carolina Fire Maps Show Where Blazes Still Raging in North, South Carolina

Newsweek•Mar 4, 2025

North and South Carolina Wildfire Map Shows Containment of Fires

Newsweek•Mar 5, 2025

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Will California’s 2018 Proposition 12, "Prevention of Cruelty to Farm Animals Act", be in effect on January 1, 2026?

80%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

skmmcj

Opened:

Jan 10, 2025

Closes:

Feb 14, 2025

Resolves:

Feb 15, 2025

🏆 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Environment & Climate

2025 Leaderboard

North and South Carolina Wildfire Map Shows Where Fires Could Spread

Newsweek•Mar 4, 2025

Carolina Fire Maps Show Where Blazes Still Raging in North, South Carolina

Newsweek•Mar 4, 2025

North and South Carolina Wildfire Map Shows Containment of Fires

Newsweek•Mar 5, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a new war or a substantial escalation to a previous war kill at least 5,000 people in 2025?

60%

Will there be a heat wave that kills at least one million people in a single month before 2050?

Will California’s 2018 Proposition 12, "Prevention of Cruelty to Farm Animals Act", be in effect on January 1, 2026?

80%